The record
Track record
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
Closed picks
17
Win rate
0%
Avg return
-3.9%
Avg hold
10d
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%11 position
- -20 to -10%00 positions
- -10 to 0%1616 positions
- 0 to 10%00 positions
- 10 to 20%00 positions
- 20 to 50%00 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KKR | KKR & Co | Jan 05, 2026 | 8d | $134.58 | $130.12 | -3.3% |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | Jan 14, 2026 | 6d | $59.88 | $58.52 | -2.3% |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | Mar 17, 2026 | 1d | $267.80 | $260.76 | -2.6% |
| TXN | Texas Instruments | Mar 10, 2026 | 10d | $197.49 | $187.14 | -5.2% |
| VTRS | Viatris | Mar 18, 2026 | 2d | $13.73 | $13.20 | -3.9% |
| CHRW | CH Robinson | Mar 25, 2026 | 1d | $169.66 | $167.63 | -1.2% |
| DOV | Dover | Mar 17, 2026 | 9d | $213.86 | $209.18 | -2.2% |
| FTV | Fortive | Mar 18, 2026 | 9d | $54.84 | $53.92 | -1.7% |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | Mar 26, 2026 | 1d | $150.06 | $145.73 | -2.9% |
| ON | ON Semiconductor | Mar 16, 2026 | 11d | $59.87 | $58.38 | -2.5% |
| PLD | Prologis | Mar 24, 2026 | 3d | $130.34 | $128.89 | -1.1% |
| AMGN | Amgen | Mar 26, 2026 | 12d | $353.25 | $339.99 | -3.8% |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | Mar 17, 2026 | 21d | $111.81 | $106.47 | -4.8% |
| LH | Labcorp Holdings | Mar 18, 2026 | 23d | $265.80 | $260.93 | -1.8% |
| MCK | McKesson | Apr 01, 2026 | 19d | $872.22 | $858.69 | -1.6% |
| KEY | KeyCorp | Aug 03, 2026 | 17d | $22.80 | $21.97 | -3.6% |
| EIX | Edison International | Aug 12, 2026 | 19d | $68.96 | $53.98 | -21.7% |
KKR
LVS
ITW
TXN
VTRS
CHRW
DOV
FTV
LYV
ON
PLD
AMGN
DLTR
LH
MCK
KEY
EIX