The record
Track record
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
Closed picks
31
Win rate
100%
Avg return
+9.7%
Avg hold
18d
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%00 positions
- -20 to -10%00 positions
- -10 to 0%00 positions
- 0 to 10%2222 positions
- 10 to 20%77 positions
- 20 to 50%22 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMC | Vulcan Materials | Sep 13, 2024 | 11d | $237.48 | $249.88 | +5.2% |
| DOW | Dow Inc | Sep 17, 2024 | 14d | $51.51 | $54.53 | +5.9% |
| DPZ | Domino's Pizza | Sep 06, 2024 | 25d | $408.67 | $430.86 | +5.4% |
| APA | APA | Sep 16, 2024 | 24d | $24.45 | $26.34 | +7.7% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings | Sep 18, 2024 | 22d | $143.18 | $172.26 | +20.3% |
| GOOG | Alphabet Class C | Sep 12, 2024 | 28d | $155.59 | $163.09 | +4.8% |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Class A | Sep 12, 2024 | 28d | $154.70 | $161.82 | +4.6% |
| MGM | MGM Resorts | Sep 12, 2024 | 28d | $35.91 | $40.19 | +11.9% |
| MU | Micron | Sep 12, 2024 | 28d | $87.20 | $101.69 | +16.6% |
| SLB | Schlumberger | Sep 16, 2024 | 24d | $40.39 | $44.22 | +9.5% |
| SNPS | Synopsys | Sep 12, 2024 | 28d | $489.26 | $528.94 | +8.1% |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | Sep 13, 2024 | 27d | $112.76 | $130.18 | +15.4% |
| BX | Blackstone Group | Oct 11, 2024 | 11d | $153.06 | $168.46 | +10.1% |
| COR | Cencora | Oct 08, 2024 | 14d | $220.80 | $234.19 | +6.1% |
| UHS | Universal Health | Oct 14, 2024 | 8d | $220.43 | $232.51 | +5.5% |
| TECH | Bio-Techne | Oct 28, 2024 | 11d | $70.37 | $75.95 | +7.9% |
| COP | Conocophillips | Oct 30, 2024 | 13d | $102.96 | $110.64 | +7.5% |
| SLB | Schlumberger | Nov 05, 2024 | 9d | $40.54 | $43.47 | +7.2% |
| TSLA | Tesla | Oct 24, 2024 | 21d | $260.54 | $311.16 | +19.4% |
| HAL | Halliburton | Oct 31, 2024 | 15d | $27.74 | $29.69 | +7.0% |
| VLO | Valero Energy | Nov 01, 2024 | 18d | $128.18 | $144.02 | +12.4% |
| EOG | EOG Resources | Oct 31, 2024 | 19d | $121.97 | $136.56 | +12.0% |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Nov 05, 2024 | 14d | $121.83 | $131.32 | +7.8% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | Oct 31, 2024 | 20d | $145.47 | $159.36 | +9.5% |
| NEM | Newmont Mining | Nov 14, 2024 | 11d | $40.67 | $42.46 | +4.4% |
| PG | Procter & Gamble | Nov 08, 2024 | 19d | $167.72 | $179.37 | +6.9% |
| AMT | American Tower | Nov 15, 2024 | 17d | $196.43 | $207.35 | +5.6% |
| AKAM | Akamai | Nov 21, 2024 | 14d | $91.12 | $97.42 | +6.9% |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | Nov 19, 2024 | 16d | $49.17 | $53.86 | +9.5% |
| MTD | Mettler-Toledo | Nov 22, 2024 | 19d | $1217.97 | $1270.83 | +4.3% |
| AVGO | Broadcom | Dec 02, 2024 | 16d | $166.50 | $223.15 | +34.0% |
VMC
DOW
DPZ
APA
GNRC
GOOG
MGM
MU
SLB
SNPS
STLD
BX
COR
UHS
TECH
COP
TSLA
HAL
VLO
EOG
PSX
MPC
NEM
PG
AMT
AKAM
LVS
MTD
AVGO