The record
Track record
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
Closed picks
94
Win rate
100%
Avg return
+8.8%
Avg hold
16d
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%00 positions
- -20 to -10%00 positions
- -10 to 0%00 positions
- 0 to 10%6666 positions
- 10 to 20%2525 positions
- 20 to 50%33 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFX | Equifax | Jan 14, 2025 | 15d | $252.36 | $271.18 | +7.5% |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Jan 14, 2025 | 15d | $170.50 | $185.42 | +8.8% |
| ADBE | Adobe | Jan 14, 2025 | 17d | $412.74 | $437.46 | +6.0% |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | Jan 13, 2025 | 18d | $130.64 | $144.61 | +10.7% |
| MA | Mastercard | Jan 15, 2025 | 16d | $522.26 | $555.56 | +6.4% |
| AKAM | Akamai | Jan 16, 2025 | 18d | $90.47 | $97.99 | +8.3% |
| CTSH | Cognizant | Jan 14, 2025 | 20d | $77.18 | $82.92 | +7.4% |
| NFLX | Netflix | Jan 16, 2025 | 18d | $842.35 | $978.57 | +16.2% |
| V | Visa | Jan 15, 2025 | 19d | $316.28 | $345.80 | +9.3% |
| MKC | McCormick & Company | Jan 15, 2025 | 20d | $71.79 | $76.87 | +7.1% |
| EXPE | Expedia | Feb 06, 2025 | 1d | $172.63 | $202.41 | +17.3% |
| APA | APA | Feb 06, 2025 | 15d | $21.64 | $22.80 | +5.4% |
| MCHP | Microchip | Feb 12, 2025 | 12d | $53.87 | $60.85 | +13.0% |
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive | Feb 12, 2025 | 15d | $86.72 | $90.19 | +4.0% |
| COR | Cencora | Feb 21, 2025 | 10d | $241.28 | $255.27 | +5.8% |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties | Feb 14, 2025 | 17d | $19.59 | $20.41 | +4.2% |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | Feb 21, 2025 | 10d | $199.14 | $207.78 | +4.3% |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services | Feb 25, 2025 | 8d | $220.20 | $230.67 | +4.8% |
| AKAM | Akamai | Mar 04, 2025 | 3d | $82.20 | $87.53 | +6.5% |
| WAT | Waters | Feb 21, 2025 | 14d | $374.69 | $392.83 | +4.8% |
| APA | APA | Mar 10, 2025 | 7d | $19.01 | $20.02 | +5.3% |
| CDNS | Cadence Design | Mar 12, 2025 | 5d | $239.31 | $255.11 | +6.6% |
| CRWD | CrowdStrike Holdings | Mar 12, 2025 | 5d | $346.69 | $364.83 | +5.2% |
| GEV | GE Vernova Inc. | Mar 12, 2025 | 5d | $298.68 | $332.35 | +11.3% |
| KLAC | KLA | Mar 13, 2025 | 4d | $681.64 | $718.25 | +5.4% |
| BA | Boeing | Mar 12, 2025 | 7d | $158.84 | $172.66 | +8.7% |
| IRM | Iron Mountain | Mar 12, 2025 | 12d | $86.37 | $90.01 | +4.2% |
| ORCL | Oracle | Mar 13, 2025 | 12d | $147.62 | $153.92 | +4.3% |
| JCI | Johnson Controls | Mar 14, 2025 | 11d | $79.64 | $84.33 | +5.9% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | Mar 14, 2025 | 12d | $141.18 | $149.85 | +6.1% |
| C | Citigroup | Mar 14, 2025 | 12d | $68.75 | $73.22 | +6.5% |
| GS | Goldman Sachs Group | Mar 14, 2025 | 12d | $541.13 | $573.54 | +6.0% |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | Mar 14, 2025 | 12d | $115.33 | $122.18 | +5.9% |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | Mar 17, 2025 | 10d | $65.80 | $76.97 | +17.0% |
| COST | Costco | Mar 24, 2025 | 9d | $925.44 | $964.49 | +4.2% |
| FOXA | Fox | Mar 19, 2025 | 14d | $52.94 | $57.04 | +7.7% |
| TXT | Textron | Apr 10, 2025 | 29d | $64.52 | $72.41 | +12.2% |
| MAS | Masco | May 01, 2025 | 11d | $60.30 | $69.16 | +14.7% |
| KMB | Kimberly Clark | May 06, 2025 | 20d | $132.77 | $141.55 | +6.6% |
| PG | Procter & Gamble | May 13, 2025 | 20d | $158.69 | $167.78 | +5.7% |
| COP | Conocophillips | Jun 03, 2025 | 10d | $87.93 | $96.98 | +10.3% |
| DVN | Devon Energy | Jun 03, 2025 | 10d | $32.01 | $35.09 | +9.6% |
| FSLR | First Solar | Jun 04, 2025 | 9d | $159.87 | $175.14 | +9.6% |
| HSY | The Hershey Company | May 27, 2025 | 17d | $158.23 | $169.13 | +6.9% |
| SLB | Schlumberger | Jun 04, 2025 | 9d | $33.23 | $36.30 | +9.2% |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply | Jun 04, 2025 | 9d | $49.35 | $51.55 | +4.5% |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil | Jun 03, 2025 | 10d | $103.83 | $112.11 | +8.0% |
| NWS | News Class B | Jun 17, 2025 | 16d | $31.85 | $34.39 | +8.0% |
| UHS | Universal Health | Jun 23, 2025 | 14d | $173.60 | $181.60 | +4.6% |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Jun 17, 2025 | 20d | $156.90 | $169.19 | +7.8% |
EFX
PANW
ADBE
LYV
MA
AKAM
CTSH
NFLX
V
MKC
EXPE
APA
MCHP
CL
COR
DOC
LHX
WST
WAT
CDNS
CRWD
GEV
KLAC
BA
IRM
ORCL
JCI
MPC
C
GS
MS
DLTR
COST
FOXA
TXT
MAS
KMB
PG
COP
DVN
FSLR
HSY
SLB
TSCO
XOM
NWS
UHS
WSM