The record
Track record
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
Closed picks
33
Win rate
100%
Avg return
+8.9%
Avg hold
18d
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%00 positions
- -20 to -10%00 positions
- -10 to 0%00 positions
- 0 to 10%2525 positions
- 10 to 20%66 positions
- 20 to 50%22 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BKR | Baker Hughes Company | Dec 23, 2025 | 20d | $45.19 | $47.94 | +6.1% |
| VLO | Valero Energy | Dec 23, 2025 | 20d | $164.76 | $179.57 | +9.0% |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Jan 02, 2026 | 11d | $130.54 | $137.71 | +5.5% |
| INTC | Intel | Dec 29, 2025 | 18d | $36.66 | $46.96 | +28.1% |
| CB | Chubb | Jan 26, 2026 | 14d | $303.50 | $326.15 | +7.5% |
| HIG | Hartford Insurance | Jan 27, 2026 | 13d | $130.29 | $139.36 | +7.0% |
| BAC | Bank of America | Jan 29, 2026 | 12d | $53.05 | $55.40 | +4.4% |
| L | Loews | Jan 27, 2026 | 14d | $102.30 | $109.95 | +7.5% |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | Feb 04, 2026 | 19d | $121.82 | $130.43 | +7.1% |
| EBAY | eBay | Feb 19, 2026 | 18d | $84.74 | $92.94 | +9.7% |
| BKR | Baker Hughes Company | Mar 18, 2026 | 12d | $57.48 | $60.66 | +5.5% |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | Mar 24, 2026 | 13d | $169.67 | $176.50 | +4.0% |
| GL | Globe Life | Mar 24, 2026 | 20d | $138.60 | $147.56 | +6.5% |
| GWW | WW Grainger | Mar 24, 2026 | 20d | $1065.96 | $1161.90 | +9.0% |
| JBHT | JB Hunt | Mar 23, 2026 | 21d | $202.84 | $227.62 | +12.2% |
| NEM | Newmont Mining | Mar 25, 2026 | 19d | $101.54 | $116.49 | +14.7% |
| PNC | PNC Financial | Mar 17, 2026 | 27d | $203.85 | $223.06 | +9.4% |
| AME | Ametek | Mar 24, 2026 | 22d | $217.04 | $230.10 | +6.0% |
| CBOE | Cboe Global Markets | Mar 31, 2026 | 17d | $280.85 | $300.39 | +7.0% |
| ADI | Analog Devices | Mar 18, 2026 | 34d | $308.65 | $375.42 | +21.6% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan | Mar 24, 2026 | 28d | $56.51 | $67.56 | +19.6% |
| IRM | Iron Mountain | Apr 01, 2026 | 20d | $100.96 | $117.81 | +16.7% |
| O | Realty Income | Mar 30, 2026 | 22d | $61.16 | $64.03 | +4.7% |
| HSIC | Henry Schein | Mar 23, 2026 | 30d | $74.46 | $78.15 | +5.0% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Apr 14, 2026 | 14d | $412.40 | $430.96 | +4.5% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | Jul 06, 2026 | 19d | $403.34 | $419.44 | +4.0% |
| CTVA | Corteva | Jul 06, 2026 | 24d | $85.95 | $89.34 | +3.9% |
| BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb Company | Jul 06, 2026 | 28d | $56.86 | $65.47 | +15.1% |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Aug 03, 2026 | 8d | $346.40 | $383.04 | +10.6% |
| CI | Cigna | Aug 11, 2026 | 9d | $271.86 | $275.73 | +1.4% |
| WBD | Warner Bros | Aug 11, 2026 | 9d | $27.07 | $28.27 | +4.4% |
| ABBV | AbbVie | Aug 12, 2026 | 8d | $248.17 | $264.56 | +6.6% |
| CF | Cf Industries Holdings | Aug 12, 2026 | 12d | $118.10 | $128.74 | +9.0% |
BKR
VLO
PSX
INTC
CB
HIG
BAC
L
DLTR
EBAY
STLD
GL
GWW
JBHT
NEM
PNC
AME
CBOE
ADI
FCX
IRM
O
HSIC
TPL
CTVA
BMY
PANW
CI
WBD
ABBV
CF