The record
Track record
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
Closed picks
140
Win rate
67%
Avg return
+5.0%
Avg hold
14d
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%00 positions
- -20 to -10%00 positions
- -10 to 0%4646 positions
- 0 to 10%6666 positions
- 10 to 20%2525 positions
- 20 to 50%33 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BF.B | Brown-Forman B | Jan 14, 2025 | 2d | $34.44 | $34.09 | -1.0% |
| SYY | Sysco | Jan 15, 2025 | 2d | $74.00 | $73.06 | -1.3% |
| AES | AES | Jan 27, 2025 | 1d | $11.44 | $11.02 | -3.7% |
| BKNG | Booking Holdings | Jan 15, 2025 | 13d | $4826.20 | $4681.48 | -3.0% |
| HST | Host Hotels & Resorts | Jan 14, 2025 | 14d | $17.29 | $17.04 | -1.4% |
| EFX | Equifax | Jan 14, 2025 | 15d | $252.36 | $271.18 | +7.5% |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Jan 14, 2025 | 15d | $170.50 | $185.42 | +8.8% |
| ADBE | Adobe | Jan 14, 2025 | 17d | $412.74 | $437.46 | +6.0% |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | Jan 13, 2025 | 18d | $130.64 | $144.61 | +10.7% |
| MA | Mastercard | Jan 15, 2025 | 16d | $522.26 | $555.56 | +6.4% |
| AKAM | Akamai | Jan 16, 2025 | 18d | $90.47 | $97.99 | +8.3% |
| CTSH | Cognizant | Jan 14, 2025 | 20d | $77.18 | $82.92 | +7.4% |
| NFLX | Netflix | Jan 16, 2025 | 18d | $842.35 | $978.57 | +16.2% |
| V | Visa | Jan 15, 2025 | 19d | $316.28 | $345.80 | +9.3% |
| EW | Edwards Lifesciences | Jan 28, 2025 | 7d | $72.55 | $71.35 | -1.7% |
| MKC | McCormick & Company | Jan 15, 2025 | 20d | $71.79 | $76.87 | +7.1% |
| ROST | Ross Stores | Jan 29, 2025 | 9d | $150.25 | $142.69 | -5.0% |
| EXPE | Expedia | Feb 06, 2025 | 1d | $172.63 | $202.41 | +17.3% |
| APA | APA | Feb 06, 2025 | 15d | $21.64 | $22.80 | +5.4% |
| ETN | Eaton | Feb 18, 2025 | 3d | $313.11 | $297.30 | -5.0% |
| HUBB | Hubbell B | Feb 18, 2025 | 3d | $395.71 | $377.44 | -4.6% |
| MCHP | Microchip | Feb 12, 2025 | 12d | $53.87 | $60.85 | +13.0% |
| CL | Colgate-Palmolive | Feb 12, 2025 | 15d | $86.72 | $90.19 | +4.0% |
| COR | Cencora | Feb 21, 2025 | 10d | $241.28 | $255.27 | +5.8% |
| DOC | Healthpeak Properties | Feb 14, 2025 | 17d | $19.59 | $20.41 | +4.2% |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | Feb 21, 2025 | 10d | $199.14 | $207.78 | +4.3% |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services | Feb 25, 2025 | 8d | $220.20 | $230.67 | +4.8% |
| AKAM | Akamai | Mar 04, 2025 | 3d | $82.20 | $87.53 | +6.5% |
| WAT | Waters | Feb 21, 2025 | 14d | $374.69 | $392.83 | +4.8% |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Class A | Mar 04, 2025 | 7d | $170.94 | $164.01 | -4.1% |
| J | Jacobs Solutions | Feb 28, 2025 | 11d | $128.11 | $122.15 | -4.7% |
| PRU | Prudential Financial | Feb 25, 2025 | 14d | $111.13 | $105.59 | -5.0% |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty | Feb 21, 2025 | 18d | $361.62 | $342.60 | -5.3% |
| APA | APA | Mar 10, 2025 | 7d | $19.01 | $20.02 | +5.3% |
| CDNS | Cadence Design | Mar 12, 2025 | 5d | $239.31 | $255.11 | +6.6% |
| CRWD | CrowdStrike Holdings | Mar 12, 2025 | 5d | $346.69 | $364.83 | +5.2% |
| GEV | GE Vernova Inc. | Mar 12, 2025 | 5d | $298.68 | $332.35 | +11.3% |
| KLAC | KLA | Mar 13, 2025 | 4d | $681.64 | $718.25 | +5.4% |
| META | Meta Platforms | Mar 12, 2025 | 7d | $619.38 | $612.50 | -1.1% |
| BA | Boeing | Mar 12, 2025 | 7d | $158.84 | $172.66 | +8.7% |
| CAT | Caterpillar | Feb 26, 2025 | 22d | $342.80 | $336.46 | -1.9% |
| IRM | Iron Mountain | Mar 12, 2025 | 12d | $86.37 | $90.01 | +4.2% |
| ORCL | Oracle | Mar 13, 2025 | 12d | $147.62 | $153.92 | +4.3% |
| JCI | Johnson Controls | Mar 14, 2025 | 11d | $79.64 | $84.33 | +5.9% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | Mar 14, 2025 | 12d | $141.18 | $149.85 | +6.1% |
| C | Citigroup | Mar 14, 2025 | 12d | $68.75 | $73.22 | +6.5% |
| GS | Goldman Sachs Group | Mar 14, 2025 | 12d | $541.13 | $573.54 | +6.0% |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | Mar 14, 2025 | 12d | $115.33 | $122.18 | +5.9% |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | Mar 17, 2025 | 10d | $65.80 | $76.97 | +17.0% |
| GEHC | GE Healthcare Technologies Inc | Mar 10, 2025 | 17d | $85.36 | $81.65 | -4.3% |
BF.B
SYY
AES
BKNG
HST
EFX
PANW
ADBE
LYV
MA
AKAM
CTSH
NFLX
V
EW
MKC
ROST
EXPE
APA
ETN
HUBB
MCHP
CL
COR
DOC
LHX
WST
WAT
GOOGL
J
PRU
ULTA
CDNS
CRWD
GEV
KLAC
META
BA
CAT
IRM
ORCL
JCI
MPC
C
GS
MS
DLTR
GEHC