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standpoint

The record

Track record

Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.

Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear

Closed picks

50

Win rate

66%

Avg return

+4.5%

Avg hold

15d

How these numbers are made

This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.

Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.

Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.

One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.

Read the disclosures

Shape of the record

Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.

TickerCompanyEntry dateHeldEntryExitReturn
BKRBaker Hughes CompanyDec 23, 202520d$45.19$47.94+6.1%
VLOValero EnergyDec 23, 202520d$164.76$179.57+9.0%
KKRKKR & CoJan 05, 20268d$134.58$130.12-3.3%
PSXPhillips 66Jan 02, 202611d$130.54$137.71+5.5%
INTCIntelDec 29, 202518d$36.66$46.96+28.1%
LVSLas Vegas SandsJan 14, 20266d$59.88$58.52-2.3%
CBChubbJan 26, 202614d$303.50$326.15+7.5%
HIGHartford InsuranceJan 27, 202613d$130.29$139.36+7.0%
BACBank of AmericaJan 29, 202612d$53.05$55.40+4.4%
LLoewsJan 27, 202614d$102.30$109.95+7.5%
DLTRDollar TreeFeb 04, 202619d$121.82$130.43+7.1%
EBAYeBayFeb 19, 202618d$84.74$92.94+9.7%
ITWIllinois Tool WorksMar 17, 20261d$267.80$260.76-2.6%
TXNTexas InstrumentsMar 10, 202610d$197.49$187.14-5.2%
VTRSViatrisMar 18, 20262d$13.73$13.20-3.9%
CHRWCH RobinsonMar 25, 20261d$169.66$167.63-1.2%
DOVDoverMar 17, 20269d$213.86$209.18-2.2%
FTVFortiveMar 18, 20269d$54.84$53.92-1.7%
LYVLive Nation EntertainmentMar 26, 20261d$150.06$145.73-2.9%
ONON SemiconductorMar 16, 202611d$59.87$58.38-2.5%
PLDPrologisMar 24, 20263d$130.34$128.89-1.1%
BKRBaker Hughes CompanyMar 18, 202612d$57.48$60.66+5.5%
STLDSteel DynamicsMar 24, 202613d$169.67$176.50+4.0%
AMGNAmgenMar 26, 202612d$353.25$339.99-3.8%
DLTRDollar TreeMar 17, 202621d$111.81$106.47-4.8%
LHLabcorp HoldingsMar 18, 202623d$265.80$260.93-1.8%
GLGlobe LifeMar 24, 202620d$138.60$147.56+6.5%
GWWWW GraingerMar 24, 202620d$1065.96$1161.90+9.0%
JBHTJB HuntMar 23, 202621d$202.84$227.62+12.2%
NEMNewmont MiningMar 25, 202619d$101.54$116.49+14.7%
PNCPNC FinancialMar 17, 202627d$203.85$223.06+9.4%
AMEAmetekMar 24, 202622d$217.04$230.10+6.0%
CBOECboe Global MarketsMar 31, 202617d$280.85$300.39+7.0%
MCKMcKessonApr 01, 202619d$872.22$858.69-1.6%
ADIAnalog DevicesMar 18, 202634d$308.65$375.42+21.6%
FCXFreeport-McMoRanMar 24, 202628d$56.51$67.56+19.6%
IRMIron MountainApr 01, 202620d$100.96$117.81+16.7%
ORealty IncomeMar 30, 202622d$61.16$64.03+4.7%
HSICHenry ScheinMar 23, 202630d$74.46$78.15+5.0%
TPLTexas Pacific LandApr 14, 202614d$412.40$430.96+4.5%
TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationJul 06, 202619d$403.34$419.44+4.0%
CTVACortevaJul 06, 202624d$85.95$89.34+3.9%
BMYBristol-Myers Squibb CompanyJul 06, 202628d$56.86$65.47+15.1%
PANWPalo Alto NetworksAug 03, 20268d$346.40$383.04+10.6%
KEYKeyCorpAug 03, 202617d$22.80$21.97-3.6%
CICignaAug 11, 20269d$271.86$275.73+1.4%
WBDWarner BrosAug 11, 20269d$27.07$28.27+4.4%
ABBVAbbVieAug 12, 20268d$248.17$264.56+6.6%
CFCf Industries HoldingsAug 12, 202612d$118.10$128.74+9.0%
EIXEdison InternationalAug 12, 202619d$68.96$53.98-21.7%