The record
Track record
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
Closed picks
94
Win rate
100%
Avg return
+8.8%
Avg hold
16d
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%00 positions
- -20 to -10%00 positions
- -10 to 0%00 positions
- 0 to 10%6666 positions
- 10 to 20%2525 positions
- 20 to 50%33 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPR | Tapestry | Nov 10, 2025 | 37d | $106.09 | $122.18 | +15.2% |
| ABBV | AbbVie | Nov 06, 2025 | 14d | $219.09 | $229.43 | +4.7% |
| AFL | AFLAC | Oct 31, 2025 | 17d | $107.18 | $112.13 | +4.6% |
| FOX | Fox | Oct 21, 2025 | 9d | $52.46 | $58.80 | +12.1% |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts | Oct 17, 2025 | 6d | $117.81 | $125.42 | +6.5% |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Oct 15, 2025 | 8d | $129.54 | $135.83 | +4.9% |
| BKR | Baker Hughes Company | Oct 20, 2025 | 3d | $46.30 | $48.87 | +5.6% |
| PCAR | Paccar | Oct 15, 2025 | 7d | $95.24 | $99.79 | +4.8% |
| DXCM | Dexcom | Oct 03, 2025 | 19d | $67.06 | $70.69 | +5.4% |
| AXP | American Express | Oct 14, 2025 | 8d | $332.81 | $352.01 | +5.8% |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings | Oct 06, 2025 | 9d | $97.06 | $104.22 | +7.4% |
| JBHT | JB Hunt | Sep 25, 2025 | 13d | $132.41 | $146.51 | +10.6% |
| EXC | Exelon | Sep 11, 2025 | 26d | $43.50 | $46.80 | +7.6% |
| AIG | American International Group | Sep 19, 2025 | 18d | $76.97 | $84.03 | +9.2% |
| TAP | Molson Coors | Sep 25, 2025 | 8d | $44.40 | $46.40 | +4.5% |
| BLDR | Builders Firstsource | Sep 30, 2025 | 3d | $121.29 | $128.57 | +6.0% |
| BAX | Baxter International | Sep 30, 2025 | 3d | $22.77 | $23.86 | +4.8% |
| VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals | Sep 26, 2025 | 6d | $385.75 | $408.89 | +6.0% |
| NEE | NextEra Energy | Sep 11, 2025 | 21d | $71.35 | $78.18 | +9.6% |
| MRK | Merck & Company | Sep 30, 2025 | 2d | $83.92 | $89.50 | +6.7% |
| CSX | CSX | Sep 08, 2025 | 18d | $32.45 | $34.01 | +4.8% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum | Aug 14, 2025 | 28d | $162.35 | $182.24 | +12.3% |
| VLO | Valero Energy | Aug 13, 2025 | 23d | $136.19 | $156.79 | +15.1% |
| SLB | Schlumberger | Aug 13, 2025 | 20d | $33.55 | $35.91 | +7.0% |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Aug 13, 2025 | 20d | $176.86 | $190.53 | +7.7% |
| FITB | Fifth Third Bancorp | Aug 07, 2025 | 26d | $41.18 | $45.57 | +10.7% |
| SWKS | Skyworks Solutions | Aug 06, 2025 | 20d | $67.50 | $75.69 | +12.1% |
| LMT | Lockheed Martin | Aug 05, 2025 | 20d | $428.31 | $447.56 | +4.5% |
| HUM | Humana | Jul 22, 2025 | 34d | $231.26 | $297.29 | +28.6% |
| UHS | Universal Health | Jul 30, 2025 | 23d | $165.48 | $185.53 | +12.1% |
| AZO | AutoZone | Jun 20, 2025 | 63d | $3648.53 | $4108.22 | +12.6% |
| PODD | Insulet | Jul 23, 2025 | 29d | $286.68 | $327.89 | +14.4% |
| HCA | HCA Healthcare | Jul 29, 2025 | 23d | $344.50 | $404.26 | +17.3% |
| UNH | UnitedHealth | Aug 04, 2025 | 16d | $240.98 | $299.60 | +24.3% |
| ROST | Ross Stores | Jun 30, 2025 | 51d | $127.56 | $146.32 | +14.7% |
| PCG | PG&E | Jul 18, 2025 | 33d | $13.45 | $15.38 | +14.4% |
| MSI | Motorola Solutions | Jun 23, 2025 | 58d | $410.70 | $462.26 | +12.6% |
| INTC | Intel | Aug 06, 2025 | 14d | $20.42 | $23.53 | +15.2% |
| CVS | CVS Health | Jul 28, 2025 | 23d | $59.64 | $70.83 | +18.8% |
| ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Jul 22, 2025 | 29d | $125.68 | $132.46 | +5.4% |
| NFLX | Netflix | Aug 05, 2025 | 14d | $1147.45 | $1213.99 | +5.8% |
| ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Jun 25, 2025 | 35d | $298.16 | $310.92 | +4.3% |
| STZ | Constellation Brands | Jun 20, 2025 | 19d | $162.40 | $169.04 | +4.1% |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts | Jun 10, 2025 | 27d | $86.69 | $108.66 | +25.3% |
| WSM | Williams-Sonoma | Jun 17, 2025 | 20d | $156.90 | $169.19 | +7.8% |
| UHS | Universal Health | Jun 23, 2025 | 14d | $173.60 | $181.60 | +4.6% |
| NWS | News Class B | Jun 17, 2025 | 16d | $31.85 | $34.39 | +8.0% |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil | Jun 03, 2025 | 10d | $103.83 | $112.11 | +8.0% |
| TSCO | Tractor Supply | Jun 04, 2025 | 9d | $49.35 | $51.55 | +4.5% |
| SLB | Schlumberger | Jun 04, 2025 | 9d | $33.23 | $36.30 | +9.2% |