The record
Track record
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
Closed picks
158
Win rate
100%
Avg return
+9.0%
Avg hold
17d
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%00 positions
- -20 to -10%00 positions
- -10 to 0%00 positions
- 0 to 10%113113 positions
- 10 to 20%3838 positions
- 20 to 50%77 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF | Cf Industries Holdings | Aug 12, 2026 | 12d | $118.10 | $128.74 | +9.0% |
| ABBV | AbbVie | Aug 12, 2026 | 8d | $248.17 | $264.56 | +6.6% |
| WBD | Warner Bros | Aug 11, 2026 | 9d | $27.07 | $28.27 | +4.4% |
| CI | Cigna | Aug 11, 2026 | 9d | $271.86 | $275.73 | +1.4% |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Aug 03, 2026 | 8d | $346.40 | $383.04 | +10.6% |
| BMY | Bristol-Myers Squibb Company | Jul 06, 2026 | 28d | $56.86 | $65.47 | +15.1% |
| CTVA | Corteva | Jul 06, 2026 | 24d | $85.95 | $89.34 | +3.9% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | Jul 06, 2026 | 19d | $403.34 | $419.44 | +4.0% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Apr 14, 2026 | 14d | $412.40 | $430.96 | +4.5% |
| HSIC | Henry Schein | Mar 23, 2026 | 30d | $74.46 | $78.15 | +5.0% |
| O | Realty Income | Mar 30, 2026 | 22d | $61.16 | $64.03 | +4.7% |
| IRM | Iron Mountain | Apr 01, 2026 | 20d | $100.96 | $117.81 | +16.7% |
| FCX | Freeport-McMoRan | Mar 24, 2026 | 28d | $56.51 | $67.56 | +19.6% |
| ADI | Analog Devices | Mar 18, 2026 | 34d | $308.65 | $375.42 | +21.6% |
| CBOE | Cboe Global Markets | Mar 31, 2026 | 17d | $280.85 | $300.39 | +7.0% |
| AME | Ametek | Mar 24, 2026 | 22d | $217.04 | $230.10 | +6.0% |
| PNC | PNC Financial | Mar 17, 2026 | 27d | $203.85 | $223.06 | +9.4% |
| NEM | Newmont Mining | Mar 25, 2026 | 19d | $101.54 | $116.49 | +14.7% |
| JBHT | JB Hunt | Mar 23, 2026 | 21d | $202.84 | $227.62 | +12.2% |
| GWW | WW Grainger | Mar 24, 2026 | 20d | $1065.96 | $1161.90 | +9.0% |
| GL | Globe Life | Mar 24, 2026 | 20d | $138.60 | $147.56 | +6.5% |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | Mar 24, 2026 | 13d | $169.67 | $176.50 | +4.0% |
| BKR | Baker Hughes Company | Mar 18, 2026 | 12d | $57.48 | $60.66 | +5.5% |
| EBAY | eBay | Feb 19, 2026 | 18d | $84.74 | $92.94 | +9.7% |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | Feb 04, 2026 | 19d | $121.82 | $130.43 | +7.1% |
| L | Loews | Jan 27, 2026 | 14d | $102.30 | $109.95 | +7.5% |
| BAC | Bank of America | Jan 29, 2026 | 12d | $53.05 | $55.40 | +4.4% |
| HIG | Hartford Insurance | Jan 27, 2026 | 13d | $130.29 | $139.36 | +7.0% |
| CB | Chubb | Jan 26, 2026 | 14d | $303.50 | $326.15 | +7.5% |
| INTC | Intel | Dec 29, 2025 | 18d | $36.66 | $46.96 | +28.1% |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Jan 02, 2026 | 11d | $130.54 | $137.71 | +5.5% |
| VLO | Valero Energy | Dec 23, 2025 | 20d | $164.76 | $179.57 | +9.0% |
| BKR | Baker Hughes Company | Dec 23, 2025 | 20d | $45.19 | $47.94 | +6.1% |
| TPR | Tapestry | Nov 10, 2025 | 37d | $106.09 | $122.18 | +15.2% |
| ABBV | AbbVie | Nov 06, 2025 | 14d | $219.09 | $229.43 | +4.7% |
| AFL | AFLAC | Oct 31, 2025 | 17d | $107.18 | $112.13 | +4.6% |
| FOX | Fox | Oct 21, 2025 | 9d | $52.46 | $58.80 | +12.1% |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts | Oct 17, 2025 | 6d | $117.81 | $125.42 | +6.5% |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Oct 15, 2025 | 8d | $129.54 | $135.83 | +4.9% |
| BKR | Baker Hughes Company | Oct 20, 2025 | 3d | $46.30 | $48.87 | +5.6% |
| PCAR | Paccar | Oct 15, 2025 | 7d | $95.24 | $99.79 | +4.8% |
| DXCM | Dexcom | Oct 03, 2025 | 19d | $67.06 | $70.69 | +5.4% |
| AXP | American Express | Oct 14, 2025 | 8d | $332.81 | $352.01 | +5.8% |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings | Oct 06, 2025 | 9d | $97.06 | $104.22 | +7.4% |
| JBHT | JB Hunt | Sep 25, 2025 | 13d | $132.41 | $146.51 | +10.6% |
| EXC | Exelon | Sep 11, 2025 | 26d | $43.50 | $46.80 | +7.6% |
| AIG | American International Group | Sep 19, 2025 | 18d | $76.97 | $84.03 | +9.2% |
| TAP | Molson Coors | Sep 25, 2025 | 8d | $44.40 | $46.40 | +4.5% |
| BLDR | Builders Firstsource | Sep 30, 2025 | 3d | $121.29 | $128.57 | +6.0% |
| BAX | Baxter International | Sep 30, 2025 | 3d | $22.77 | $23.86 | +4.8% |
CF
ABBV
WBD
CI
PANW
BMY
CTVA
TPL
HSIC
O
IRM
FCX
ADI
CBOE
AME
PNC
NEM
JBHT
GWW
GL
STLD
BKR
EBAY
DLTR
L
BAC
HIG
CB
INTC
PSX
VLO
TPR
AFL
FOX
WYNN
PCAR
DXCM
AXP
UAL
EXC
AIG
TAP
BLDR
BAX