The record
Track record
Every position I have closed, with the date I opened it and the date I closed it. Winners and losers, in one table, kept in full. The thesis behind each one is written for members.
Figures above reflect the current filter. Clear
Closed picks
75
Win rate
0%
Avg return
-3.2%
Avg hold
9d
How these numbers are made
This is the whole record. Every position I have closed since inception, in the order it closed. Nothing is withheld and nothing is selected.
Return is the exit price against the entry price, gross. No fees, no slippage, no tax, no position sizing. These are per-position returns, not the return of a portfolio.
Closed positions only. What I hold today is not here, and it is not counted in any figure above.
One name measured against the index over its own short holding window tells you very little, so I do not print that column. The comparison that means something is at the portfolio level.
Shape of the record
Where the closed positions landed. An average hides whether a record came from many steady gains or one outlier.
- < -20%11 position
- -20 to -10%00 positions
- -10 to 0%7474 positions
- 0 to 10%00 positions
- 10 to 20%00 positions
- 20 to 50%00 positions
- 50%+00 positions
| Ticker | Company | Entry date | Held | Entry | Exit | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EIX | Edison International | Aug 12, 2026 | 19d | $68.96 | $53.98 | -21.7% |
| KEY | KeyCorp | Aug 03, 2026 | 17d | $22.80 | $21.97 | -3.6% |
| MCK | McKesson | Apr 01, 2026 | 19d | $872.22 | $858.69 | -1.6% |
| LH | Labcorp Holdings | Mar 18, 2026 | 23d | $265.80 | $260.93 | -1.8% |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree | Mar 17, 2026 | 21d | $111.81 | $106.47 | -4.8% |
| AMGN | Amgen | Mar 26, 2026 | 12d | $353.25 | $339.99 | -3.8% |
| PLD | Prologis | Mar 24, 2026 | 3d | $130.34 | $128.89 | -1.1% |
| ON | ON Semiconductor | Mar 16, 2026 | 11d | $59.87 | $58.38 | -2.5% |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | Mar 26, 2026 | 1d | $150.06 | $145.73 | -2.9% |
| FTV | Fortive | Mar 18, 2026 | 9d | $54.84 | $53.92 | -1.7% |
| DOV | Dover | Mar 17, 2026 | 9d | $213.86 | $209.18 | -2.2% |
| CHRW | CH Robinson | Mar 25, 2026 | 1d | $169.66 | $167.63 | -1.2% |
| VTRS | Viatris | Mar 18, 2026 | 2d | $13.73 | $13.20 | -3.9% |
| TXN | Texas Instruments | Mar 10, 2026 | 10d | $197.49 | $187.14 | -5.2% |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | Mar 17, 2026 | 1d | $267.80 | $260.76 | -2.6% |
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | Jan 14, 2026 | 6d | $59.88 | $58.52 | -2.3% |
| KKR | KKR & Co | Jan 05, 2026 | 8d | $134.58 | $130.12 | -3.3% |
| IDXX | Idexx Laboratories | Dec 19, 2025 | 11d | $700.30 | $681.54 | -2.7% |
| DGX | Quest Diagnostics | Dec 12, 2025 | 7d | $182.54 | $176.00 | -3.6% |
| BBY | Best Buy Co | Nov 21, 2025 | 11d | $76.45 | $74.88 | -2.1% |
| DUK | Duke Energy | Nov 12, 2025 | 12d | $123.89 | $122.09 | -1.5% |
| MTB | M&T Bank | Oct 15, 2025 | 20d | $185.22 | $180.92 | -2.3% |
| RJF | Raymond James Financial | Oct 15, 2025 | 13d | $163.69 | $159.67 | -2.5% |
| SPGI | S&P Global | Oct 07, 2025 | 10d | $481.01 | $473.17 | -1.6% |
| MSI | Motorola Solutions | Oct 06, 2025 | 10d | $457.24 | $437.47 | -4.3% |
| HSIC | Henry Schein | Oct 09, 2025 | 7d | $64.56 | $61.99 | -4.0% |
| GDDY | GoDaddy | Oct 06, 2025 | 4d | $137.21 | $130.69 | -4.8% |
| DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Oct 03, 2025 | 4d | $103.04 | $97.98 | -4.9% |
| UDR | UDR | Sep 30, 2025 | 6d | $37.24 | $36.02 | -3.3% |
| INVH | Invitation Homes | Sep 30, 2025 | 3d | $29.32 | $28.64 | -2.3% |
| AWK | American Water | Sep 23, 2025 | 9d | $137.18 | $135.57 | -1.2% |
| CPAY | Corpay Inc | Sep 29, 2025 | 1d | $295.84 | $288.01 | -2.6% |
| CMCSA | Comcast | Sep 26, 2025 | 4d | $31.72 | $31.40 | -1.0% |
| KO | Coca-Cola | Sep 18, 2025 | 8d | $66.42 | $65.64 | -1.2% |
| ROP | Roper Technologies | Sep 18, 2025 | 7d | $508.90 | $493.20 | -3.1% |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital | Sep 11, 2025 | 6d | $88.36 | $86.11 | -2.5% |
| GEN | Gen Digital | Sep 09, 2025 | 3d | $29.47 | $29.12 | -1.2% |
| MRNA | Moderna | Aug 14, 2025 | 11d | $26.69 | $25.35 | -5.0% |
| FE | FirstEnergy | Jun 12, 2025 | 21d | $40.66 | $39.72 | -2.3% |
| IT | Gartner | Jun 24, 2025 | 8d | $400.33 | $395.54 | -1.2% |
| COST | Costco | Jun 23, 2025 | 9d | $1004.64 | $982.02 | -2.3% |
| CNP | Centerpoint Energy | Jun 23, 2025 | 9d | $36.26 | $35.76 | -1.4% |
| LII | Lennox International | Jun 10, 2025 | 3d | $555.16 | $537.64 | -3.2% |
| EXC | Exelon | May 16, 2025 | 12d | $44.08 | $43.28 | -1.8% |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies | Mar 07, 2025 | 20d | $179.29 | $169.57 | -5.4% |
| VTRS | Viatris | Mar 17, 2025 | 10d | $9.26 | $8.97 | -3.1% |
| VST | Vistra Corp | Mar 12, 2025 | 15d | $121.92 | $119.29 | -2.2% |
| GEHC | GE Healthcare Technologies Inc | Mar 10, 2025 | 17d | $85.36 | $81.65 | -4.3% |
| CAT | Caterpillar | Feb 26, 2025 | 22d | $342.80 | $336.46 | -1.9% |
| META | Meta Platforms | Mar 12, 2025 | 7d | $619.38 | $612.50 | -1.1% |
EIX
KEY
MCK
LH
DLTR
AMGN
PLD
ON
LYV
FTV
DOV
CHRW
VTRS
TXN
ITW
LVS
KKR
IDXX
DGX
BBY
DUK
MTB
RJF
SPGI
MSI
HSIC
GDDY
DECK
UDR
INVH
AWK
CPAY
CMCSA
KO
ROP
PNW
GEN
MRNA
FE
IT
COST
CNP
LII
EXC
WAB
VST
GEHC
CAT
META